Passa ai contenuti principali

German Industrial Output Unexpectedly Gains in Euro-Zone Boost - Bloomberg

German Industrial Output Unexpectedly Gains in Euro-Zone Boost - Bloomberg

German Industrial Output Unexpectedly Gains in Euro-Zone Boost

  • March production rises 0.5% versus estimated 0.5% decline

  • German industrial output unexpectedly advanced for a second month in March, bolstering confidence that Europe's largest economy may soon start climbing out of its rut.

    Production increased 0.5 percent, beating the estimate for a 0.5 percent decline, though the previous month's gain was revised down to 0.4 percent. The March performance was led by consumer goods, while construction -- a bright spot the previous month -- rose 1 percent. Output was down 0.9 percent from a year earlier.

    The euro ticked slightly higher on the news, and was up 0.2 percent to $1.1212 as of 8:03 a.m. Frankfurt time.

    German industrial output unexpectedly advanced for a second month in March

    An upturn in Germany's economy would be a sizable boost for the euro area after months in which the nation's factories have been hit by slowing global demand, and temporary shocks such as disruption to the car industry and low river levels. The auto industry increased output by 0.4 percent in the first quarter, the Economy Ministry said, while noting that's "clearly below the production levels at the beginning of last year."

    What Bloomberg's Economists Say:

    "Germany's industrial production data for March is reassuring news. It confirms output in the industrial sector expanded in the first quarter, after two quarters of sharp declines, and shows a pick up in manufacturing activity."
    -- Maeva Cousin. See her GERMANY REACT

    The European Commission on Tuesday slashed its estimate of German growth this year to just 0.5 percent and said the downside risks to the euro-area outlook remain "prominent.''

    That scenario has worried policy makers, prompting the European Central Bank to delay plans for an interest-rate hike and prepare fresh loans to banks. While reports such as purchasing managers indexes and corporate earnings have shown nascent signs that the regional economy may at least be close to stabilizing, Germany has so far remained a concern.

    Read more: EU Cuts German Growth Outlook, Sees 'Pronounced' Euro-Area Risks

    The nation's factory orders came in weaker than forecast for March, and April PMIs showed that the private sector is being driven by growth in services that is barely compensating for a contraction in manufacturing.

    — With assistance by Harumi Ichikura



    Fabrizio 

    Commenti

    Post popolari in questo blog

    Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire - Bloomberg

    Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-06/charting-the-world-economy-the-u-s-jobs-market-is-on-fire Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire Zoe Schneeweiss Explore what's moving the global economy in the new season of the Stephanomics podcast. Subscribe via  Apple Podcast , Spotify or  Pocket Cast . The last U.S. payrolls report of the decade was a doozy, beating expectations and doing its bit to keep the consumer in good health heading into 2020. That's good news given the various pressures still weighing on global growth. Here's some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week, offering a pictorial insight into the latest developments in the global economy. U.S. Advertisement Scroll to continue with content ...

    Another Paradox: Consumer Spending Expectations Surge, Despite Dismal Income, Earnings

    Call it the latest economic paradox. Despite widespread stories of doom and gloom about the state of US consumer finances once the fiscal stimulus bill expires on Dec 31, the latest NY Fed survey of consumer expectations unexpectedly shows that US consumers have little intention of slowing down their spending. In fact, and very paradoxically,  despite depressed and flat income and earnings growth expectations,  with median one-year ahead expected earnings growth at 2.0% for fifth consecutive month and expected income growth barely little changed at 2.14% ... ...  consumers' 1-year ahead  spending growth expectations  jumped to 3.73% over the next 12 months in November  - the highest level in more than four years, not only up from the 3.06% in the previous month but a whopping 33% more than the 2.8% reported last November,  making this the biggest Y/Y increase in expected spending in series history. This bizarre increase took place even as labor market signals were mixed: although t...

    China Exports, Imports Fall Sequentially, Adding To Slowdown Fears

    China's exports rose 19.3% y/y in July, missing the median consensus expectation of 20% (ranging from 15.4% to 30.7%), and declining sequentially -0.3% in July after rising +5.7% in June. Imports also rose less than expected, up 28.1% Y/Y in July, below the 33.3% median expectation, and fell 6.4% sequentially after surging +11.3% M/M in June. As a result this disproportional slowdown in imports vs exports, China's monthly trade surplus actually rose to $56.6bn in July, slightly better than the $53.3BN consensus, and up from $51.5BN in June due to the bigger miss in imports. ASEAN was China's biggest trading partner in July, followed by the Europe Union and the U.S., customs data showed. China's exports to the US grew 13.4% in July from a year ago, while imports from America rose 25.6%, leaving a trade surplus of $35.4 billion in the month. Some more details: By geography:  Export growth slowed across major export destinations, and exports to major DMs continued to be a ...