Passa ai contenuti principali

Investors are practically begging the Fed to cut rates again as coronavirus threatens the economy — even though the central bank just did


  • Markets are calling for lower interest rates even after the Fed handed down an emergency half-point cut on Tuesday to combat coronavirus' potential impact on the US economy. 
  • Seventy-eight percent of traders think the Fed will cut another 50 basis points, while nearly 22% think there will be a 25-basis-point cut at the next meeting March 17-18, according to CME's FedWatch tool. 
  • "Everything is on the table," James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, told Bloomberg TV in a Friday interview.
  • Read more on Business Insider.

The market is screaming for interest rates to fall even further just days after the Federal Reserve issued its first emergency cut since the financial crisis. 

The central bank slashed interest rates by a half percentage point on Tuesday to combat the potential impact of a coronavirus outbreak on the US economy. But markets didn't react positively to the move — stocks continued to fall, and investors rushed into safe-haven assets sending yields on long-term US Treasury bonds down. 

On Friday, yields on both the 10- and 30-year US Treasury bonds fell to record lows, a sign that the market still thinks fiscal policy is too tight. Traders are betting that the Fed lowers rates even further at its next meeting March 17-18. As many as 78% of traders think the Fed will cut another 50 basis points, while nearly 22% think there will be a 25-basis-point cut in March, according to CME's FedWatch tool. 

That could bring the federal funds rate to between 0.50% and 0.75%, down from where it currently stands between 1.0% and 1.25%. 

The central bank appears to be listening to investor concerns. "Everything is on the table," James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, told Bloomberg TV in a Friday interview.

"We are willing to do more. But we are monitoring the situation. We can meet at any time," he said. 

While there are "downside risks to growth" associated with the potential for a coronavirus pandemic, markets seem to be pricing in the worst-case scenario, Bullard said. There are positive signs that the situation in China is stabilizing, meaning that its economy could return to normal in the second quarter of the year, he said.


Commenti

Post popolari in questo blog

Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire - Bloomberg

Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-06/charting-the-world-economy-the-u-s-jobs-market-is-on-fire Charting the World Economy: The U.S. Jobs Market Is On Fire Zoe Schneeweiss Explore what's moving the global economy in the new season of the Stephanomics podcast. Subscribe via  Apple Podcast , Spotify or  Pocket Cast . The last U.S. payrolls report of the decade was a doozy, beating expectations and doing its bit to keep the consumer in good health heading into 2020. That's good news given the various pressures still weighing on global growth. Here's some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week, offering a pictorial insight into the latest developments in the global economy. U.S. Advertisement Scroll to continue with content ...

Fwd: The Looming Bank Collapse The U.S. financial system could be on the cusp of calamity. This time, we might not be able to save it.

After months  of living with the coronavirus pandemic, American citizens are well aware of the toll it has taken on the economy: broken supply chains, record unemployment, failing small businesses. All of these factors are serious and could mire the United States in a deep, prolonged recession. But there's another threat to the economy, too. It lurks on the balance sheets of the big banks, and it could be cataclysmic. Imagine if, in addition to all the uncertainty surrounding the pandemic, you woke up one morning to find that the financial sector had collapsed. You may think that such a crisis is unlikely, with memories of the 2008 crash still so fresh. But banks learned few lessons from that calamity, and new laws intended to keep them from taking on too much risk have failed to do so. As a result, we could be on the precipice of another crash, one different from 2008 less in kind than in degree. This one could be worse. John Lawrence: Inside the 2008 financial crash The financial...

The repo market is ‘broken’ and Fed injections are not a lasting solution, market pros warn

By Joy Wiltermuth Published: Dec 7, 2019 9:35 a.m. ET Banks prefer to keep money at Fed instead of lending to other banks Getty Images Examining $100 bills. Getty Images By Joy Wiltermuth Markets reporter The Federal Reserve's ongoing efforts to shore up the short-term "repo" lending markets have begun to rattle some market experts. The New York Federal Reserve has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to keep credit flowing through short term money markets since mid-September when a shortage of liquidity caused a spike in overnight borrowing rates. But as the Fed's interventions have entered a third month, concerns about the market's dependence on its daily doses of liquidity have grown. "The big picture answer is that the repo market is broken," said James Bianco, founder of Bianco R...